Reports emerging today suggest that Rt. Hon. Raila Odinga, a veteran statesman and influential African leader, is considering withdrawing from the race for the African Union Commission (AUC) chairmanship. The move is reportedly driven by the daunting challenge of securing the two-thirds majority needed to win the position, with sources close to Odinga indicating that he is keen to avoid a high-profile defeat both domestically and internationally.
Political analysts point to the influence of Kenyan President William Ruto as a critical factor in diminishing Odinga’s chances. Insiders from Odinga’s ODM party believe his campaign would have been more robust without Ruto’s controversial involvement. Ruto’s foreign policy positions—including his vocal support for Israel over Palestine, Ukraine against Russia, and allegations of complicity in politically sensitive abductions—have polarized opinions and cast him as a pro-Western figure advancing imperialist agendas. This perception, some argue, has complicated Odinga’s efforts to build consensus across Africa.
Also READ: AUC Chairmanship Race: Is Raila Odinga Losing Ground?
Speculation suggests that Odinga will position his withdrawal as a strategic decision to focus on domestic priorities. Strengthening ODM, rebuilding grassroots support, and reclaiming lost political ground have been underscored as his key objectives in recent statements by senior party figures, including Prof. Anyang’ Nyong’o and Secretary-General Edwin Sifuna.
The timing is significant, with the first round of the AUC chairmanship elections scheduled for February 25—just over six weeks away. As Africa watches closely, Odinga’s decision could redefine his legacy and recalibrate Kenya’s role on the continental stage.
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